News
Gold Holds Near Two-Month High as Oil Rises and Global Stocks Slip
Gold prices remained close to a two-month high on August 11, supported by renewed safe-haven demand as geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz continued to weigh on markets. At the same time, oil prices moved higher while global equities came under pressure, reflecting growing uncertainty over inflation, interest rates and the outlook for the global economy.
Gold Finds Support as Geopolitical Risks Rise
Spot gold was trading around $4,412.50 an ounce in late U.S. trading, gaining about 0.56% during the session. Silver also edged higher, trading near $65.68 an ounce.
The gains came despite a firmer U.S. dollar and relatively high interest rates, which can typically put pressure on non-yielding assets such as gold.
However, concerns surrounding the Strait of Hormuz provided fresh support for the precious metal. The possibility of prolonged disruption around one of the world’s most important oil shipping routes has increased demand for assets traditionally viewed as safe havens.
Oil Moves Higher as Hormuz Uncertainty Persists
Oil prices also climbed as uncertainty grew over the possibility of reopening the Strait of Hormuz.
Brent crude settled at $88.91 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude ended at $83.20. The rise came as negotiations surrounding the reopening of the key shipping route remained uncertain.
The Strait of Hormuz is a crucial route for global oil shipments, meaning any prolonged disruption could have wider implications for energy prices and inflation.
Higher oil prices can complicate the outlook for central banks because rising energy costs can add to inflationary pressures.
Equities Lose Ground Amid Market Uncertainty
Global stock markets also faced pressure during the session.
Wall Street’s major indexes closed lower, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all declining. Investors remained cautious amid concerns about inflation, higher energy prices and the potential impact of geopolitical tensions on economic growth.
The weakness in equities also highlighted the contrasting behaviour of financial markets. While stocks came under pressure, gold benefited from its role as a defensive asset.
U.S. Inflation Data in Focus
Investors were also looking ahead to the latest U.S. inflation data, which was expected to provide further clues about the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook.
Markets have been closely watching economic data after weaker labour-market figures reduced expectations of further rate increases. A softer inflation reading could strengthen expectations that the Federal Reserve may have more room to ease monetary policy.
For gold, the interest-rate outlook remains particularly important. Lower interest rates and falling bond yields can make non-yielding assets such as gold relatively more attractive.
Gold’s Recent Rally
The latest move has kept gold close to levels last seen around two months earlier. Gold had already gained strongly in August, supported by a combination of geopolitical uncertainty, changing expectations around U.S. monetary policy and demand for safe-haven assets.
The metal’s ability to hold near these highs despite a stronger dollar and elevated rates has also highlighted the strength of current demand.
Analysts are likely to continue watching U.S. economic data, Treasury yields, the dollar and developments around the Strait of Hormuz for clues about gold’s next move.
What Could Drive Markets Next?
The outlook for gold, oil and equities will depend on how several factors develop in the coming days.
For gold, the key factors include U.S. inflation data, interest-rate expectations, movements in the dollar and geopolitical risks. Oil prices will remain sensitive to developments around the Strait of Hormuz, while equities could react to changes in inflation expectations and corporate earnings.
For now, markets remain caught between two opposing forces: geopolitical uncertainty is supporting safe-haven assets such as gold, while higher oil prices and inflation concerns could keep pressure on central banks and risk assets.
The combination is likely to keep global markets volatile as investors assess the next direction for interest rates, commodities and economic growth.
Source : KITCO News
News
FMCG Companies Brace for Higher Input Costs
India’s consumer sector is heading into the festive season with demand holding up, but rising input costs are putting pressure on company margins.
Consumer companies are seeing steady demand across categories, with rural consumption also showing signs of resilience. However, higher costs of key raw materials could make it harder for companies to protect their profits.
What’s pushing costs up?
Several FMCG companies have flagged rising input costs during the September quarter.
Higher prices of commodities and raw materials, along with elevated crude oil prices, are adding to the cost of making and transporting everyday products. Packaging costs can also rise when crude-linked inputs become more expensive.
Companies are trying to manage the pressure through cost efficiencies, supply-chain measures and selective price increases.
Will consumers pay more?
That’s the key question.
When input costs rise, companies have three broad choices: absorb the additional cost and take a hit to margins, cut costs elsewhere, or pass some of the increase on to consumers.
If cost pressures persist, price hikes across everyday products could eventually follow.
For consumers, that could mean paying a little more for everything from packaged food and personal-care products to household essentials.
Festive demand could offer some relief
The good news for FMCG companies is that festive spending could provide a boost.
With Diwali falling later this year, some festive demand is expected to shift into the December quarter rather than showing up fully in the September quarter. Categories such as snacks, sweets, gifting and other consumer products could see stronger demand as the festive season progresses.
Rural demand remains important
Rural consumption will also be closely watched. Smaller towns and rural markets are an important growth driver for FMCG companies, and a recovery in rural spending could support volumes.
But uneven weather conditions and pressure on agricultural incomes remain concerns.
What Happens If Costs Stay High?
For now, demand remains relatively strong. But if input costs continue to stay elevated, companies may eventually pass some of that pressure on to consumers.
Explainer
Can Your Handbag Get You a Loan?
There was a time when buying a designer bag was fairly straightforward: you liked it, you could afford it, and you bought it.
Now, things are a little different.
People are booking appointments, joining waitlists and hunting down specific colours, materials and limited-edition pieces. There are collectors with entire rooms dedicated to their handbags. And increasingly, buyers aren’t looking at these bags only as fashion purchases; they are looking at what the bag could be worth years down the line.
That got me thinking: when did a handbag start looking like an investment?
The Numbers Are Making The Case
According to the Knight Frank Luxury Investment Index, handbags were the best-performing luxury collectible category in 2024, gaining 2.8%.
Economic Times also highlighted how certain luxury handbags can sell for significantly more in the resale market than their original retail price. One example cited was an Hermès Birkin 25, which retailed at around ₹10.2 lakh but was selling for roughly ₹18 lakh in the resale market.
That’s a pretty interesting premium for something that is technically still a handbag.
Forbes has been making a similar argument for years. Its research has looked at designer handbags particularly sought-after Hermès pieces as an alternative investment, comparing their appreciation with traditional luxury assets such as art.
Of course, that doesn’t mean your wardrobe is suddenly a stock portfolio. But it does show that something interesting is happening in the luxury market.
Scarcity Is Doing A Lot Of The work
The most valuable handbags aren’t necessarily the most expensive ones. They’re often the ones people can’t easily get.
Limited production, discontinued designs, rare colours and materials, celebrity associations and strong brand demand can all contribute to resale value.
And that explains the waitlists.
The scarcity itself becomes part of the product. If everyone could walk into a store tomorrow and buy the same bag, some of that exclusivity and potentially some of its resale appeal would disappear.
It’s the same basic idea we see with many collectibles: when supply is limited and demand stays strong, people are willing to pay more.
This Is Also Creating A New Kind Of Collector
There are serious collectors building entire portfolios of handbags. Some buy specific models because they believe they will hold their value. Others look for pieces that are rare or difficult to find.
And yes, there are people whose collections are large enough to require dedicated storage.
At that point, we’re moving beyond fashion. We’re talking about an asset that someone is deliberately acquiring, preserving and potentially reselling.
And Then There’s The Collateral Angle
Here’s where things get even more interesting.
In some markets, specialist lenders allow owners to borrow against valuable luxury handbags, using them as collateral. In simple terms, the bag is valued and the owner can potentially access a loan against that value.
But this is where one should draw the line between “valuable asset” and “investment.”
Not every designer bag will qualify. And not every bag will be appreciated. Brand, model, condition, authenticity, rarity and resale demand can all influence its value.
So, are designer bags actually investments?
Sometimes. But not every expensive handbag is an investment. A stock can generate dividends. A bond can generate interest. A property can generate rent. A handbag doesn’t do any of that.
Its investment potential comes from what someone else may be willing to pay for it later. And that makes the market much more dependent on trends, scarcity and consumer demand.
So yes, a ten lakh handbag could potentially become more valuable over time.
But that doesn’t mean spending ten lakh on a handbag is automatically a smart financial decision. The smarter way to look at it may be this: a designer bag can be a luxury purchase that happens to have investment potential, not an investment that happens to be a bag.
News
Diwali Gold Rush: Prices Fall 23%, Should You Buy?
Gold has had a pretty dramatic year.
After hitting record highs earlier in 2026, gold prices have now corrected by more than 23%. International prices fell from around $5,419 an ounce in January to just above $4,155 by October 5. In India, MCX gold also slipped from its yearly high of ₹2.48 lakh per 10 grams to around ₹1.49 lakh.
With Diwali and the wedding season around the corner, the big question for buyers is simple: Is this dip a good opportunity to buy gold?
Why has gold fallen?
The recent correction has been driven by a mix of global factors.
Higher US Treasury yields and a stronger US dollar have put pressure on gold prices. Changing expectations around global interest rates and geopolitical developments have also contributed to the decline.
But a fall in price doesn’t automatically mean gold is now “cheap”.
Kaveri More, Commodity Technical Analyst at Choice Broking, says the correction looks more like a period of consolidation and repricing rather than a signal to rush in and buy everything at once.
So, should you buy before Diwali?
If you are buying gold for Diwali, Dhanteras or an upcoming wedding, your approach can be different from someone buying purely as an investment.
For jewellery, buying according to your actual requirement may make sense rather than trying to predict where prices will bottom.
For investment purposes, experts suggest avoiding a lump-sum purchase right now. Instead, investors could consider staggering their purchases across 3–4 tranches over the coming weeks.
The idea is simple: you don’t have to perfectly time the lowest gold price.
For investors who don’t specifically need physical gold, Gold ETFs can also be considered. They provide exposure to gold without the making charges associated with jewellery.
What about jewellery buyers?
The festive season could still bring some demand, but consumers are becoming more careful about how much they spend.
Colin Shah, Managing Director of Kama Jewellery, expects festive and wedding demand to see occasional spikes of around 15–20% during the peak season. However, buyers are increasingly looking at lightweight and contemporary jewellery that fits within their budgets.
The average ticket size is expected to be around ₹1.5 lakh–₹3 lakh.
A 23% correction may make gold look more attractive, but a lower price doesn’t mean the bottom is here.
If you need jewellery for a genuine occasion, buy according to your requirement and budget.
If you’re buying gold as an investment, don’t put all your money in at once. Staggering purchases can help reduce the risk of getting your timing wrong.
And most importantly, don’t use money meant for short-term expenses just because gold prices have fallen.
Source: MoneyControl
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